Skip to main content
World Cup Blog
UEFA Champions League
Finished
Villarreal

Villarreal

1
VS
Ajax

Ajax

2
January 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM
Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Nick Walsh, Scotland

Statistical Analysis

Data and probabilities based on team history and trends

Medium Predictability

Result Probabilities

Villarreal
15
Home team victory
Draw
20
Draw in regular time
Ajax
65
Away team victory

Main Analysis

Combo Double chance : draw or Ajax and +1.5 goals

Statistical Insights

Ajax is Favorite

Medium Confidence

With 65% probability of victory, Ajax demonstrates technical superiority and favorable momentum.

Warning: These analyses are based on historical data and statistics for informational and educational purposes. Sporting event outcomes are unpredictable and there is no guarantee of accuracy. This content does not constitute professional advice.

Match Events

12'
O. Wijndal
Yellow Card

Tripping

Ajax
Ajax
46'
A. Moleiro
Substitution

Assist:T. Buchanan

Villarreal
Villarreal
49'
T. Oluwaseyi
Goal

Assist:R. Marin

Villarreal
Villarreal
54'
Y. Regeer
Substitution

Assist:K. Itakura

Ajax
Ajax
60'
S. Mourino
Yellow Card
Villarreal
Villarreal
61'
O. Gloukh
Goal
Ajax
Ajax
71'
T. Partey
Yellow Card

Tripping

Villarreal
Villarreal
71'
K. Dolberg
Substitution

Assist:R. Bounida

Ajax
Ajax
71'
J. Mokio
Substitution

Assist:S. Steur

Ajax
Ajax
72'
N. Pepe
Substitution

Assist:G. Mikautadze

Villarreal
Villarreal
72'
A. Perez
Substitution

Assist:G. Moreno

Villarreal
Villarreal
74'
T. Partey
Substitution

Assist:D. Parejo

Villarreal
Villarreal
80'
R. Marin
Yellow Card

Unsportsmanlike conduct

Villarreal
Villarreal
84'
O. Gloukh
Substitution

Assist:O. Edvardsen

Ajax
Ajax
84'
O. Wijndal
Substitution

Assist:K. Fitz-Jim

Ajax
Ajax
88'
A. Bouwman
Yellow Card

Tripping

Ajax
Ajax
90'
O. Edvardsen
Goal

Assist:A. Gaaei

Ajax
Ajax

Villarreal

Formation: 4-4-2

Coach:Marcelino

Starting XI

#25

Arnau Tenas

#25

Goalkeeper

#15

Santiago Mouriño

#15

Defender

#4

Rafa Marín

#4

Defender

#12

Renato Veiga

#12

Defender

#23

Sergi Cardona

#23

Defender

#19

Nicolas Pépé

#19

Midfielder

#14

Santi Comesaña

#14

Midfielder

#16

Thomas Partey

#16

Midfielder

#20

Alberto Moleiro

#20

Midfielder

#22

Ayoze Pérez

#22

Forward

#21

Tani Oluwaseyi

#21

Forward

Substitutes

#17

Tajon Buchanan

#17 • Forward

#7

Gerard Moreno

#7 • Forward

#9

Georges Mikautadze

#9 • Forward

#10

Dani Parejo

#10 • Midfielder

#1

Luiz Júnior

#1 • Goalkeeper

#13

Diego Conde

#13 • Goalkeeper

#24

Alfonso Pedraza

#24 • Defender

#26

Pau Navarro

#26 • Defender

#32

Hugo Lopez

#32 • Forward

Ajax

Formation: 4-3-3

Starting XI

#1

Vítězslav Jaroš

#1

Goalkeeper

#3

Anton Gaaei

#3

Defender

#30

Aaron Bouwman

#30

Defender

#15

Youri Baas

#15

Defender

#5

Owen Wijndal

#5

Defender

#18

Davy Klaassen

#18

Midfielder

#6

Youri Regeer

#6

Midfielder

#24

Jorthy Mokio

#24

Midfielder

#10

Oscar Gloukh

#10

Forward

#9

Kasper Dolberg

#9

Forward

#11

Mika Godts

#11

Forward

Substitutes

#4

Ko Itakura

#4 • Defender

#43

Rayane Bounida

#43 • Forward

#48

Sean Steur

#48 • Midfielder

#17

Oliver Edvardsen

#17 • Forward

#28

Kian Fitz-Jim

#28 • Midfielder

#12

Joeri Heerkens

#12 • Goalkeeper

#22

Remko Pasveer

#22 • Goalkeeper

#2

Lucas Rosa

#2 • Defender

#37

Josip Šutalo

#37 • Defender

#41

Gerald Alders

#41 • Defender

#7

Raúl Moro

#7 • Forward

#68

Abdellah Ouazane

#68 • Midfielder

Villarreal

Villarreal

View team

Ajax

Ajax

View team

Villarreal

Villarreal

30 players